QBS Comparison: Peyton Manning and Andrew Luck's Sophomore Seasons

Posted on October 20, 2013 at 3:00 PM

Piggybacking off the hype heading into tonight's matchup between the Colts and Broncos, many analysts have been quick to proclaim Andrew Luck as being further ahead in his sophomore season than Peyton Manning was during his. This is not the case. Manning was much more productive, much more accurate and much more efficient than Luck. Using the QBS system, it is clear that Luck is not performing anywhere near the level Manning was in 1999.

Peyton Manning (1999 QBS: 32.5)

  • 3rd in passing yards.
  • 3rd in touchdown passes.
  • 2nd in pass completion percentage.
  • 2nd in adjusted net yards per attempt.
  • 8th in interceptions.


Andrew Luck (2013 QBS After Week Six: 0.0)


  • 21st in passing yards.
  • 18th in touchdown passes.
  • 15th in pass completion-percentage.
  • 12th in adjusted net yards per attempt.
  • T-25th in interceptions.


While Luck has thrown fewer interceptions, he has been somewhat inaccurate and surprisingly unproductive. Manning ranked 3rd in passing yards in 1999, Luck currently ranks 21st in 2013. Manning ranked 3rd in touchdown passes in 1999, Luck currently ranks 18th in 2013. While the raw numbers may make the comparison seem closer, there truly is no comparison between Manning's sophomore season in 1999 and Luck's through the first six weeks of 2013.

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