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QBS2 Profile: Pat Haden

Posted on April 4, 2016 at 12:00 AM

Below are the QBS2 results, ranked by season, for Pat Haden's career.


Pat Haden Season Rankings


  • 1977: 92.85 (3)
  • 1978: 50.00 (15)
  • 1979: 35.71 (19)
  • 1981: 21.42 (23)

  • Career average: 49.99

QBS2 Profile: David Garrard

Posted on April 3, 2016 at 4:45 PM

Below are the QBS2 results, ranked by season, for David Garrard's career.


David Garrard Season Rankings


  • 2007: 94.79 (2)
  • 2010: 52.08 (15)
  • 2006: 46.87 (16)
  • 2008: 46.87 (19)
  • 2009: 40.62 (19)

  • Career average: 56.24

What They're Not Telling You About Brady vs. Manning

Posted on January 23, 2016 at 3:25 PM
Brady vs. Manning—or "Manning vs. Brady" (depending on your point of view), is arguably, the most hyped player-rivalry in NFL history. With the two quarterbacks set to square off this Sunday for the 17th time (4th time for the AFC Championship), the mainstream media has made every day a field-day in respects to hype, promotion and presentation sans context. The rivalry is too often reduced to elementary analysis: reiteration of Brady's 11-5 record vs. Manning, four rings to one, Manning's 9 one and done's. The information force-fed through television sets and across the internet, at this point, is common knowledge to fans of the game. Yet, we see it over and over.

So, what aren't they telling you?

1) Brady Has Proclaimed Manning the "Greatest of All-Time."


Brady's respect for Manning has been well-established, yet, rarely publicized.
"What can you say more about what Peyton Manning has been able to accomplish? It's been the greatest season-and-a-half stretch in the history of the NFL. Nobody has really matched what he has been able to do." -Brady on Manning's 2013-14 run


2) Manning Has Faced Mostly Elite Defenses—Brady Has Faced Mostly Bad Defenses.



3) Since 2003: Manning Has Played at a Higher Level in the Postseason.



4) Manning Has Performed Better in Six "One and Done's" since 2005 than Brady Has in His Six AFC Championship Wins.




5) The Higher the Stakes, the Further Manning Has Separated Himself vs. Brady.

Brady's record in AFC Championship Games/Super Bowls:

  • vs. Peyton Manning: 1-2 (0.333)
  • vs. Peyton Manning, since 2005: 0-2 (0.000)

  • vs. Peyton/Eli Manning: 1-4 (0.200)
  • vs. everyone else: 10-1 (0.909)


6) Manning Was Wrong about Brady Breaking His Single-Season Touchdown Record.



7) Manning Has Earned a Record Seven First Team All-Pro Selections to Brady's Two.


QBS Stat Guide: Top Receivers Supporting Quarterbacks Ranked 2nd in Passing Yardage

Posted on December 24, 2015 at 7:25 PM

Below is a list of quarterbacks ranked 2nd in passing yardage, along with their team's leading receivers (league ranking).

 

  • 2015: Philip Rivers (2nd)Danny Woodhead (47th)
  • 2014: N/A Roethlisberger, Brees were tied for the league lead.
  • 2013: Drew Brees (2nd)Jimmy Graham (15th)
  • 2012: Matthew Stafford (2nd)Calvin Johnson (1st)
  • 2011: Tom Brady (2nd)Wes Welker (2nd)
  • 2010: Peyton Manning (2nd)Reggie Wayne (3rd)
  • 2009: Peyton Manning (2nd)Reggie Wayne (5th)
  • 2008: Kurt Warner (2nd)Larry Fitzgerald (2nd)
  • 2007: Drew Brees (2nd)Marques Colston (8th)
  • 2006: Peyton Manning (2nd)Marvin Harrison (2nd)
  • 2005: Trent Green (2nd)Eddie Kennison (14th)
  • 2004: Trent Green (2nd)Tony Gonzalez (7th)
  • 2003: Trent Green (2nd)Tony Gonzalez (19th)
  • 2002: Drew Bledsoe (2nd)Eric Moulds (9th)
  • 2001: Peyton Manning (2nd)Marvin Harrison (2nd)
  • 2000: Jeff Garcia (2nd)Terrell Owens (4th)
  • 1999: Kurt Warner (2nd)Isaac Bruce (12th)
  • 1998: Steve Young (2nd)Jerry Rice (7th)
  • 1997: Brett Favre (2nd)Antonio Freeman (7th)
  • 1996: Vinny Testaverde (2nd)Michael Jackson (6th)
  • 1995: Scott Mitchell (2nd)Herman Moore (3rd)
  • 1994: Dan Marino (2nd)Irving Fryar (6th)
  • 1993: Steve Young (2nd)Jerry Rice (1st)
  • 1992: Steve Young (2nd)Jerry Rice (3rd)
  • 1991: Dan Marino (2nd)Mark Duper (8th)
  • 1990: Jim Everett (2nd)Henry Ellard (2nd)
  • 1989: Jim Everett (2nd)Henry Ellard (4th)
  • 1988: Jim Everett (2nd)Henry Ellard (1st)
  • 1987: Boomer Esiason (2nd)Eddie Brown (33rd)
  • 1986: Jay Schroeder (2nd)Gary Clark (4th)
  • 1985: John Elway (2nd)Steve Watson (22nd)
  • 1984: Neil Lomax (2nd)Roy Green (1st)
  • 1983: Bill Kenney (2nd)Carlos Carson (2nd)
  • 1982: Joe Montana (2nd)Dwight Clark (2nd)
  • 1981: Tommy Kramer (2nd)Joe Sesner (17th)
  • 1980: Brian Sipe (2nd)Dave Logan (21st)
  • 1979: Brian Sipe (2nd)Dave Logan (13th)
  • 1978: Archie Manning (2nd)Henry Childs (9th)
  • 1977: Bert Jones (2nd)Lydell Mitchell (23rd)
  • 1976: Fran Tarkenton (2nd)Sammy White (5th)
  • 1975: Fran Tarkenton (2nd)John Gilliam (9th)
  • 1974: Joe Namath (2nd)Rich Caster (6th)
  • 1973: Jim Plunkett (2nd)Reggie Ricker (8th)
  • 1972: Archie Manning (2nd)Danny Abramowicz (15th)
  • 1971: John Brodie (2nd)Gene Washington (5th)
  • 1970: Fran Tarkenton (2nd)Clifton McNeil (12th)

Peyton Manning: the Struggles, the Injuries, the Records

Posted on November 19, 2015 at 8:25 PM

On the same day that Peyton Manning broke the NFL's all-time mark for passing yardage (Favre: 71,838), he also recorded career-low marks in completion percentage (25.0), passing yardage (35), passing Y/A (1.75), passer rating (0.0) and total QBR (0.1). To call it the worst game of Manning's career would be a gross understatement. The game stood in stark contrast to Week 7 of the 2014 season, when Manning completed 84.6 percent of his passes for 318 yards, four touchdowns, zero interceptions, recording a 157.2 passer rating, 98.7 total QBR, in-route to breaking Favre's all-time NFL record for career touchdown passes (508). People ran on the field carrying flags featuring the number 509, the game paused and the only thing Manning was criticized for was choreographing a touchdown celebration with his teammates.


The scene are very different vs. the Chiefs on November 15th, 2015. No horses, no flags—no real excitement. Manning appeared to be more interested in converting the upcoming third down than he did in taking in the moment to recognize the fact that he had just broken, arguably, the second most significant record in NFL history.


The Broncos, the NFL, had one shot to properly recognize the historic moment and they botched it. Manning's recluctance to celebrate the milestone aside, that moment was more important than the game. People may be afraid to state the obvious in that regard, but there are 14 games played every week and thousands more may come and go before another quarterback surpasses it. Drew Brees (age 36) is currently 12,866 yards behind Manning, Tom Brady (age 38) is currently 15,293 yards behind.


Eric Dickerson's 2,105 rushing yards in 1984 remains the single-season NFL record. Six other running backs have eclipsed 2,000 rushing yards—and there have been 20 others who have eclipsed 1,800. While some have come close, there is a reason why certain records prove to be so difficult to break. Once a certain threshold is reached, it becomes much tougher to gain additional yardage. It's akin to holding your breath for 60 seconds vs. 70 seconds. That final stretch is the most difficult.


There's been a clear correlation between Manning's steep regression and his health. His detractors will label such recognition of reality as "excuses", overlooking the fact that it's difficult to play with no feeling in your fingertips, an injured shoulder, an injured rib-cage and inflamation of of the tissue that connects your heel-bone to your toes.


Taking that same quarterback and having him stand behind an offensive line wearing t-shirts that say "come right through" does not usually yield great results. Toss in the support of the NFL's 27th ranked rushing attack in YPC (through Week 10) and you have the perfect recipe to allow opposing defenses to load up on DBs and have their pass rushers tee off on a quarterback whose line won't protect him. Must be Manning's fault though—not the injuries, scheme, pass protection or rushing support. It can't be because of the same "Kubiak System" that, at it's peak, produced Matt Schaub's prime and Joe Flacco's 16th ranked passer rating in 2014. That's the system to role with. It can't be because of the ingenious idea to take away practice reps from a rhythm passer. The narrative has ensured that the blame reside with Peyton Manning.


Below is a list of Peyton Manning's injuries/illnesses since 2010:



Most know that Manning has struggled with injuries but few are familiar with the depth of his adversity. He overcame multilpe neck surgeries, a season of rust, relocation, loss of feeling in his fingertips and two high ankle sprains to reclaim his spot as the NFL's top quarterback for two and a half seasons. Tom Brady called Manning's 2013-14 run the "greatest season-and-a-half stretch in the history of the NFL." Via QBR, Manning was the NFL's No. 1 quarterback in 2012, 2013 and was on-pace to produce the highest rated season in the history of the metric through Week 8 of the 2014 season.



What changed? Flashes of greatness aside, Manning has not been the same quarterback since. Greg Bedard of MMQB traced the beginning of Manning's decline to the Broncos Thursday Night Football matchup vs. the Chargers.

From what I saw, there is a clear line of demarcation between Manning’s play before and after that first matchup with the Chargers. He played exceedingly well up to that game...I think it’s absurd to believe that Manning aged, suddenly, in the middle of the season and the game has passed him by. To me, the more logical explanation for the sharp contrast between his play before and after Oct. 23 is that Manning played through the second half of the season with serious leg problems that he couldn’t shake. -Greg A. Bedard (MMQB: January 14th, 2015)


Manning wasn't just good up to that point, he was on-pace to throw 52 touchdown passes to only 7 interceptions.


Through Week 8, 2014:


  • 174 of 252 (69.0) for 2,134 yards, 22 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. 119.0 passer rating.
  • 412 of 597 (69.0) for 5,058 yards, 52 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. 119.0 passer rating (projected).

 

Manning is not immune to criticism. He's made plenty of mistakes, especially in 2015. Bad reads, awful foot placement, forced throws. The issue is, it may be impossible to quantify the degree of his decline given the putrid caliber of his offensive support, within a system that was not structured around his skill-set. Within the wrong offensive system, O.J. Simpson, known for having "hands of stone", looked like a draft-bust while being forced to catch passes from 1969-1971. Then in 1972, Lou Saban took over the Bills and structured the offense around the team's most talented player. Simpson went on to earn five consecutive Pro Bowl selections, five consecutive First Team All-Pro nods, and NFL MVP honors in 1973. Unlike Simpson, Manning is 39 years old with a body that has taken blow after blow, sustaining injury after injury. But the system was a problem from day one and the results should not have been shocking. When you spend an entire offseason teaching your offense to play mostly under center, only to attempt to rectify the mistake by running a hybrid (pistol-heavy) system after two weeks, you get what you get. Manning's 2015 has been the worst season of his career, but to understand exactly what's being criticized, you need to take a deep look into the context of Manning's performance.

QBS2 Profile: Jake Plummer

Posted on November 4, 2015 at 10:35 PM

Below are the QBS2 results, ranked by season, for Jake Plummer's career.


Jake Plummer Season Rankings


  • 2003: 87.50 (4)
  • 2005: 82.81 (6)
  • 2001: 64.51 (10)
  • 2004: 60.93 (13)
  • 2006: 21.87 (25)
  • 1998: 21.66 (21)
  • 2000: 4.83 (27)
  • 1997: -1.66 (27)
  • 2002: -7.81 (29)
  • 1999: -20.96 (34)

Career average: 31.36

QBS2 Profile: Lynn Dickey

Posted on November 4, 2015 at 10:20 PM

Below are the QBS2 results, ranked by season, for Lynn Dickey's career.


Lynn Dickey Season Rankings


  • 1984: 78.57 (7)
  • 1983: 75.00 (8)
  • 1981: 67.85 (10)
  • 1982: 50.00 (15)
  • 1985: 46.42 (16)
  • 1980: 32.14 (20)
  • 1976: 28.57 (21)
  • 1977: 17.85 (24)

  • Career average: 49.55

QBS Stat Guide: Total Touchdowns (Passing and Rushing)

Posted on October 31, 2015 at 10:10 AM

Below is a list of the most total touchdowns, passing and rushing, regular season and postseason combined, in NFL history.


List updated as of 1/23/17.


  • Peyton Manning: 600
  • Brett Favre: 567
  • Tom Brady: 540
  • Drew Brees: 505
  • Dan Marino: 462
  • Fran Tarkenton: 386
  • John Elway: 366
  • Ben Roethlisberger: 345
  • Eli Manning: 343
  • Joe Montana: 340
  • Warren Moon: 330
  • Philip Rivers: 329
  • Johnny Unitas: 311
  • Vinny Testaverde: 296
  • Dave Krieg: 286
  • Dan Fouts: 279
  • Sonny Jurgensen: 270
  • Drew Bledsoe: 267

2002: The Season Tom Brady Really Did Do "More with Less"

Posted on September 12, 2015 at 1:55 PM
It's the season nobody talks about.

In 2002: The New England Patriots would record the worst record of the Brady-Belichick era (9-7) as they failed to make the playoffs. Tom Brady recorded a career-low mark in passer rating (85.7) while setting a career-high mark in interceptions (14). No ring, no All-Pro nod, no AP MVP—heck, not even a Pro Bowl selection for No. 12.
"Brady didn't win nothing in 2002." -Idiot

After winning a Super Bowl MVP by completing 59.3 percent of his passes for 145 yards—a lowly 5.4 Y/A average—and one touchdown pass, many thought that the Patriots had a team so dominant, so well-coached, that they wouldn't need their quarterback to produce for them to succeed. They were wrong.


The 2002 Patriots supported Brady with the NFL's 17th ranked scoring defense (the worst of his career). If they were going to have a winning season, they would have to rely heavily on their young quarterback. What many forget is that Brady led the NFL in touchdown passes in 2002. It was his first of three touchdown pass crowns (2002, 2007, 2010) and perhaps, the most improbable.



Brady has long been the beneficiary of the "he does more with less" myth. It's a proclamation as often misused as it is misunderstood. 


Merriam-Webster defines "more" as:

: greater in amount, number, or size

: extra or additional

What people mean to say is: "Brady has won a lot of games, including multiple Super Bowls, with wide receivers who do not sport brand names." Lower levels of production and efficiency in relation to his peers has no correlation with any practical interpreation of the verb "more." There was however, a clear correlation between defensive team support and Brady's four championship rings. During every one of those seasons, Brady was supported by a scoring defense ranked in the Top-10.



It's no coincidence that during the two years that Brady had his best defensive support, he won two Super Bowl rings and during the two years he had his worst defensive support, his team's traveled the shortest distance. Still, it's not as though Brady hasn't carried dead weight to success. On the ground, the 2002 Patriots ranked 26th in rushing Y/A. That, in addition to a 17th ranked scoring defense put the bullseye on Brady. What happens when you can't run the ball and your defense gives up points?

Interceptions.

Although Brady's 14 interceptions are tied for a career-high, his NFL ranking in interception-percentage was actually worse during two of his championship seasons.

  • 2002: 8th
  • 2001: 13th
  • 2004: 15th

Brady was red-hot at the beginning of the 2002 season. After throwing 21 touchdown passes in his first nine games, he was on-pace to finish the season with over 37.

Pro Football Reference: Tom Brady 2002 Game Log



On December 16th 2002, on the road vs. the Tennessee Titans, Brady suffered a first degree shoulder separation.

"Brady originally injured his throwing shoulder Dec. 16, 2002, at Tennessee. Attempting a pass at the end of the first half, Brady suffered a first-degree separation on a hit from Tennessee's Jevon Kearse. Brady completed 14 of 29 passes in that game (48 percent), one of three games in 52 career starts in which he has completed fewer than half his attempts. He was limited the following week in a home loss to the New York Jets, in which he completed 19 of 37 (51 percent). In the victory over Miami in the 2002 finale, Brady reinjured the shoulder, this time sustaining a second-degree separation."

The injury clearly impacted Brady's performance. His Y/A, completion-percentage, touchdown-percentage, interception-percentage and passer rating all tanked.



  • Week 01-14: 315 of 491 (64.2) for 3,276 yards (6.7), 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. 91.7 passer rating.
  • Week 15-17: 058 of 110 (52.7) for 488 yards (4.4), 2 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. 59.2 passer rating.

  • Week 01-14 (projected): 388 of 604 (64.2) for 4,032 yards (6.7), 32 touchdowns and 14 interceptions. 91.7 passer rating.

Despite hitting a tremendous slump after injuring his shoulder, Brady still beat out Peyton Manning and Brett Favre for the NFL's touchdown pass title. Had he continued at the pace he was producing when healthy, he would have thrown for 32 touchdown passes—an impressive stat considering that nobody else had thrown for more than 27.

Since the 1970 NFL-AFL merger, only eight quarterback have ever led the NFL in touchdown passes at the age of 25 or younger.


The notion that Brady wasn't a productive quarterback until 2007 is false. Although he wasn't remarkable productive during his first three Super Bowl runs, Brady led the NFL in touchdown passes in 2002 and in passing yards in 2005—remarkable feats for a young quarterback backed by the NFL's 17th ranked scoring defense.

2002 isn't remembered as one of Brady's greatest seasons. It wasn't on par with the stretch of greatness he displayed between 2007-2012, but it may be more impressive than the Super Bowl winning season that came before it (2001) and the two Super Bowl winning seasons that came after it (2003, 2004). It was a season in which Brady really did do more than his peers, with less to boot. His teammates couldn't run the ball, they gave up too many points, but Brady still produced and led them to nine wins.

It's one of the most impressive accomplishments of his storied career—yet, it's the chapter that many people are quick to gloss over.

Ryan Michael: QBS Interview with Caleb Hanie

Posted on August 26, 2015 at 8:35 AM

In another QBS exclusive, I caught up with NFL veteran quarterback Caleb Hanie. We talked about the teams he's played for since coming into the league in 2008, what it was like to throw his first touchdown pass in the 2010 NFC Championship game vs. Aaron Rodgers, what it was like to play with Peyton Manning in Denver and how he's been changing the landscape of non-tackle football with the advent of soft shell helmets.


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Ryan: Since you entered the NFL in 2008, you've spent time with the Chicago Bears, Denver Broncos, Cleveland Browns and Dallas Cowboys. Which team did you enjoy playing for the most?


Caleb: "I enjoyed the city of Chicago immensely. The history behind the Bears is incredible. Cool team to play with and I made a lot of great friends—Steltz, Cutler, Roach, etc. But my favorite season was with the Broncos. Such a good team. Peyton was awesome to play with and I just had a blast!"



Ryan: After Jay Cutler was injured in the 2010 NFC Championship game, you stepped in, threw a touchdown, but eventually fell short by 7-points to Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers. What was it like to play in that game and how did it feel to throw your first touchdown pass on such a large stage?


Caleb: "That game is so surreal. Everything happened so quickly. Not much time to think about the weight of it all as it felt like one minute I was warming up and the next minute the game was over. Definitely a cool thing to tell my grandkids that their grandpa threw his first touchdown in the NFC Championship."


 

Ryan: In 2012, you joined the Denver Broncos along with Peyton Manning. The two of you both played in the preseason opener, a 31-3 win over your former team, the Chicago Bears. What was it like to be there by Manning's side as he made his comeback to the NFL?


Caleb: "Another surreal situation. He's such a respected player. One of my favorite to watch when I was in high school. To be there and become a true friend of his while he experienced so much change in his life was so cool. It was one of his best seasons ever and I feel forever connected to him because of that time together."



Ryan: You are the Vice President of RockSolid—a company that develops soft shell helmets for non-contact football. Tell me a little about what it is you do and where fans can go to find more information.


Caleb: "RockSolid is run by myself and another former NFL teammate. We designed the first ever soft shell helmet specifically for non-tackle football (non-contact) such as flag football, 7-on-7, or off season activities for high school and college teams. We have outfitted over 20,000 kids in the last 14 months. We are changing the game by enhancing the overall experience for flag football kids and parents. The parents feel more at ease knowing their son or daughter's heads are protected and the kids get to feel like real football players by wearing a cool looking helmet. We are the ONLY soft shell helmet designed specifically for football and our website to order is: www.liverocksolid.com. Check us out and thank you!"


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Follow Ryan Michael on Twitter: @theryanmichael 

Follow Caleb Hanie on Twitter: @CalebHanie12 

Follow RockSolid on Twitter: @LiveRockSolid


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