The Nonsense in Overreacting to Manning vs. Brady XIV

Posted on November 25, 2013 at 6:55 PM

On November 24th, 2013 -- the Patriots defeated the Broncos in overtime: 34-31.

Statistically, Tom Brady out-performed Peyton Manning while leading an impressive 24-point comeback. In defeat, Manning played his worst game of 2013. The facts are what they are and regardless of the hype and the headlines, the game moves on. In response to the final score, the media has been nothing short of predictable. Because while many have been quick to anoint Brady back to a perceived state of elite status, the reality comes quicky crashing down to dismiss such sensationalistic nonsense.

First of all, you need to comprehend the context of exactly how the Patriots' victory came to be. You certainly won't hear much about Brady's complete inability to move the ball during almost a full quarter of overtime. His teammates recovered a muffed punt which put one of the best kickers in the game, Stephen Gostkowsi, in position to kick a chip-shot field goal to win the game. Had it not been for the miscommunication between Wes Welker and Tony Carter, Manning would have had possesion of the football with just enough time to either A) win the game, or B) allow the game to end in a tie. Blind eyes may be turned away, but the same Tom Brady that many have been quick to re-label "clutch" is the same Tom Brady who couldn't move the ball in overtime against a terrible Broncos' defense with the game on the line.

Brady (vs. Broncos in overtime): 3 of 7 (42.9 percent) for 35 yards, 0 touchdowns, 0 interceptions. 58.6 passer rating.

Make no mistake about it, Tom Brady's 2013 compaign has tainted his legacy in a big way. Once a consistent staple of productive and efficent quarterbacking, Brady has regressed without the aid of greater support at the skill positions. Many analysts and fans continue to prove themselves incapable of understanding the depth of statistics. For instance: the 4.4 percent difference between Aaron Rodgers' completion percentage (66.9) and Mike Glennon's (62.5) seems close numerically, despite the substantial differential in overall league ranking (Rodgers: 5th vs. Glennon: 15th). This is one of the many reasons the QBS was developed. Because with the perspective provided by a player's ranking amongst his contemporaries, we can get a clearer picture in respects to how well he is really playing over the totality of an entire season.

Tom Brady (2013 QBS: 3.0)


  • 9th in passing yards.
  • 10th in touchdown passes.
  • 22nd in completion percentage.
  • 18th in adjusted net yards per attempt.

Peyton Manning (2013 QBS: 38.0)

  • 1st in passing yards.
  • 1st in touchdown passes.
  • 2nd in completion percentage.
  • 2nd in adjusted net yards per attempt.

Additional info:

  • Andy Dalton has thrown for more yards and touchdowns than Brady.
  • Ryan Tannehill, Chad Henne, Mike Glennon and Matt Schaub have been more accurate than Brady.
  • Case Keenum, Ryan Fitzpatrick and Josh McCown have been more efficient than Brady.

While Brady has delivered productive performances in three of eleven games this season, his unproductive, inaccurate and inefficent performance for the majority of 2013 casts a black cloud over his season. The reality isn't always glamorous -- no one-game performance against the Broncos' 26th ranked scoring defense changes that.

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