News

Has Peyton Manning's Performance Blinded Drew Brees About Late 30's Potential?

Posted on September 1, 2014 at 1:50 PM

Peyton Manning's record-shattering 2013 campaign has left many people optimistic about the potential for a quarterback to play at a high level late in his career. Recently, Drew Brees expressed his optimism on the subject.


"Listen, Brett Favre had one of the greatest seasons of his incredible career when he was 39. Kurt Warner had some remarkable success later in his career. I played with Doug Flutie when he was 42, and (he) still had the skills and the knowledge. I watch what Peyton (Manning) and Tom (Brady) are doing in their late 30s and certainly that inspires you to think that maybe our best is yet to come." -Drew Brees


Since the merger, only five quarterbacks aged 36 or older have ever recorded a QBS of 30.0 or higher: Peyton Manning, Steve Young, Rich Gannon, Fran Tarkenton and Sonny Jurgensen. Manning is the only quarterback to ever accomplish this feat twice.

 

Single-Season QBS (Quarterbacks Age 36 and Older)


  • 37 (2013), Peyton Manning: 37.0
  • 37 (1998), Steve Young: 34.0
  • 36 (2012), Peyton Manning: 33.0
  • 37 (2002), Rich Gannon: 32.0
  • 36 (1976), Fran Tarkenton: 30.0
  • 36 (1970), Sonny Jurgensen: 30.0

  • 37 (2008), Kurt Warner: 29.5
  • 36 (2001), Rich Gannon: 29.0
  • 36 (1978), Roger Staubach: 28.0
  • 40 (2009), Brett Favre: 27.0
  • 37 (1979), Roger Staubach: 26.0
  • 38 (2007), Brett Favre: 25.0
  • 38 (1978), Fran Tarkenton: 22.0
  • 36 (1971), Len Dawson: 22.0
  • 36 (1990), Steve DeBerg: 22.0
  • 36 (1997), Steve Young: 21.0
  • 36 (1996), John Elway: 21.0
  • 39 (1995), Warren Moon: 20.5

  • 37 (1997), John Elway: 18.0
  • 36 (1992), Warren Moon: 16.0
  • 36 (1975), Billy Kilmer: 16.0
  • 41 (1997), Warren Moon: 15.0
  • 36 (1997), Dan Marino: 14.0
  • 36 (1971), John Brodie: 13.0
  • 38 (1981), Craig Morton: 13.0
  • 36 (1974), Charely Johnson: 11.0
  • 37 (1993), Warren Moon: 10.5
  • 37 (1977), Fran Tarkenton: 10.0

  • 36 (1994), Dave Krieg: 9.0
  • 38 (1993), Phil Simms: 9.0
  • 38 (1994), Warren Moon: 8.5
  • 38 (1998), John Elway: 8.0
  • 37 (1993), Joe Montana: 7.0
  • 36 (1996), Bobby Hebert: 7.0
  • 38 (1994), Joe Montana: 6.0
  • 38 (2009), Kurt Warner: 6.0
  • 37 (1998), Dan Marino: 6.0
  • 37 (1982), Ken Stabler: 6.0
  • 38 (2010), Jon Kitna: 6.0
  • 36 (2013), Tom Brady: 5.0
  • 36 (1983), Jim Plunkett: 4.5
  • 36 (2005), Brett Favre: 4.0
  • 36 (1998), Doug Flutie: 4.0
  • 37 (2000), Vinny Testaverde: 4.0
  • 37 (1991), Steve DeBerg: 4.0
  • 36 (2001), Chris Chandler: 4.0
  • 36 (1981), Ken Stabler: 3.5
  • 39 (2008), Brett Favre: 3.0
  • 36 (2007), Kurt Warner: 3.0
  • 36 (1970), Bart Starr: 3.0
  • 39 (1986), Jim Plunkett: 3.0
  • 38 (1996), Dave Krieg: 3.0
  • 37 (2006), Brett Favre: 1.5
  • 36 (2011), Matt Hasselbeck: 0.5
  • 39 (2001), Doug Flutie: 0.5

  • 42 (1998), Warren Moon: 0.0
  • 37 (1981), Jim Hart: 0.0
  • 37 (1976), Billy Kilmer: 0.0
  • 38 (1977), Billy Kilmer: 0.0
  • 37 (1971), Earl Morrall: 0.0
  • 38 (1972), Earl Morrall: 0.0
  • 36 (1975), Norm Snead: 0.0
  • 36 (1979), Craig Morton: 0.0
  • 36 (1985), Lynn Dickey: 0.0
  • 38 (2001), Vinny Testaverde: 0.0
  • 36 (2002), Rodney Peete: 0.0
  • 36 (1980), Jim Hart: -0.5
  • 38 (1973), John Brodie: -0.5
  • 38 (1983), Ken Stabler: -0.5
  • 37 (1999), Doug Flutie: -1.0
  • 36 (1987), Dan Fouts: -2.5
  • 38 (1999), Dan Marino: -3.5
  • 36 (1996), Jim Kelly: -3.5
  • 41 (2010), Brett Favre: -3.5
  • 37 (1995), Dave Krieg: -4.0
  • 41 (2004), Vinny Testaverde: -5.0

In the last 11 years, there have only been five instances where a quarterback age 36 or older has earned a QBS above 6.0 and Peyton Manning accounts for two of those examples—which also happen to be the two highest examples (33.0 QBS in 2012, 37.0 QBs in 2013). Conversely, Tom Brady's QBS has dropped every season over the last three years, from a 32.0 QBS in 2011, to a 23.0 QBS in 2012, to a 5.0 QBS in 2013.

Brees will enter the 2014 season at 35 years of age, coming off of a season where his 32.0 QBS in 2013 was second only to Manning. He has now strung together six consecutive seasons with a QBS of 20.0 or higher (2008-2013), which is the second longest streak in NFL history after Manning's unfathomable 14 consecutive seasons. Brees, whose 250.5 career QBS ranks below only Manning (432.5), Favre (303.5), Marino (302.0) and Montana (284.5) out of all quarterbacks drafted after the merger, has the talent, football I.Q. and work ethic to be one of the few to perform at a high level in his late 30's. But he'd be the exception, not the rule, in a league that has not had a high success-rate with quarterbacks playing into their late 30's.

Categories: None